I will be posting my views and opinions on the current P2P season based on the winning maiden performances of four-year-old and five-year-old geldings, and the occasional six-year-old, that promise to deliver success on the racecourse. As those that live and breathe the game might say: predicting the performers “between the flags” that might prove their mettle “inside the rails” can be both an art and a science and my analysis is based on ten years of solid trends, observing previous patterns of success, enthusiasm and sheer, dogged hard work.
My analysis extends to the individual handler’s record over an extended period, the p2p rating awarded to the winner, how the horse fared at subsequent public auction, new trainer taking charge, subsequent level of success achieved and the Official Ratings awarded by the Irish and English handicappers. It can be illuminating to compare the success (or otherwise) of the maiden point winners of particular races or at certain highly-regarded venues over a period of years with the prices achieved when offered at public auction . My analysis will also generally cover four-year-old winning mares but this is a more nuanced field of research.
Week 10: Autumn point-to-point season 10/12/2017 Borris (heavy) 4yo mares maiden: two divisions First run in 2015 this race produced the high-class Threeswallowsnick in 2016 who won two bumpers fir Gordon Elliott and although she received a very modest...read more
2/12/2017 Moira (heavy) 4yo maiden: This has been a decidedly average maiden over the years with the 2011 winner, Billy Twyford (Thomond O’Mara-129) and Baby Bach (132), from 2014, being the best of 12 previous winners for Nicky Henderson and Stephen...read more
Week 5: Autumn point-to-point season 05/11/2017 Tinahely (yielding) 4yo maiden: The other horse to catch the eye here – as mentioned above – was the Aidan Fitzgerald-trained Shetland Bus (by Sholokhov) who was the undoubted hard luck story of the race...read more
Week 1: Autumn point-to-point season 8/10/2017: Castletown-Geoghegan (yield-soft) 4yo maiden: This race provided some other horses of interest: Hitdroadjack (by Wareed) trained by Dan Lordan, who finished second to Napoleon Blue seemed to improve markedly...read more
26/11/2017 Knockinroe (heavy) This meet was held under the auspices of the Suir Vale Harriers and represented their first-ever autumn fixture which may have been occasioned by the loss of their solitary April date in both 2016 and 2015. Therefore, there is...read more
Week 7: Autumn point-to-point season 18/11/2017 Kirkistown (yield-soft) 4yo maiden: This has been a very decent maiden and throws up good track winners consistently. Ballynagour won for Stuart Crawford in 2010 (won a Byrne Plate at Cheltenham) and the 2012...read more
11/11/2017 Loughbrickland (heavy) 4yo maiden: Derby (Denis Murphy) by Policy Maker 3-3 (R93) "A serious horse with plenty of scope." Conditions were heavy and this paddock standout impressed most who saw him score convincingly. There were genuine excuses...read more
Week 5: Autumn point-to-point season 05/11/2017 Tinahely (yielding) 4yo maiden: Rocco (Colin Bowe) by Shantou F- (R92) £90,000 Cheltenham November 2017; 12th foal; half-brother to bumper/useful 2m-2m5f hurdle/chase winner Line Ball for Christy Roche,...read more
28/10/2017 Lisronagh (soft/heavy) 4yo mares maiden: Ratings of 81 and 82 has not been a particularly strong recommendation in the past for winning 4yo mares compared to the ratings for geldings which have inflated by between 5% and 10% over the past 10...read more
22/10/2017 Rathcannon (soft/heavy) 4yo maiden: It seems a long time ago and it is – 2007/08 in fact – since Eric McNamara trained 25 winners in a National Hunt season. Many lean years follow but last season (2016/17) showed an upswing in his fortunes when...read more