I will be posting my views and opinions on the current P2P season based on the winning maiden performances of four-year-old and five-year-old geldings, and the occasional six-year-old, that promise to deliver success on the racecourse. As those that live and breathe the game might say: predicting the performers “between the flags” that might prove their mettle “inside the rails” can be both an art and a science and my analysis is based on ten years of solid trends, observing previous patterns of success, enthusiasm and sheer, dogged hard work.
My analysis extends to the individual handler’s record over an extended period, the p2p rating awarded to the winner, how the horse fared at subsequent public auction, new trainer taking charge, subsequent level of success achieved and the Official Ratings awarded by the Irish and English handicappers. It can be illuminating to compare the success (or otherwise) of the maiden point winners of particular races or at certain highly-regarded venues over a period of years with the prices achieved when offered at public auction . My analysis will also generally cover four-year-old winning mares but this is a more nuanced field of research.
Navan: 7 April 2018 (heavy) 5f 3-y-o+ maiden Without even checking the form lines of King Of Leinster (by Zoffany) I would be likely to be interested in him as he is very familiar to trainer James Barrett who has previously handled four of the family for...read more
Cork 31/3/2018 (heavy) 10f 3-y-o maiden Stepping up to 10f for the first time following two runs over a mile at two, For Pleasure once again showed some ability when staying on late to claim fourth 16L off the winner on very heavy ground. By Excelebration,...read more
Naas (25 March 2018) – soft-heavy ground 5f 2-y-o maiden This was a somewhat unusual start to the turf flat season with Jim Bolger as the only recognisable training “name” amongst the nine runners. Some first-season-sires were represented, notably...read more
DARK HORSES (Irish Flat season 2018) Irish 1,000 Guineas - Curragh 27 May 2018 I have selected a number of unraced three-year-olds from Irish and UK stables that still hold an entry for Ireland’s 1,000 Guineas due to be run at the Curragh on Sunday, 27...read more
I have selected a number of unraced three-year-olds from Irish and UK stables that still hold an entry for Ireland’s first Classic due to be run at the Curragh on Saturday, 26 May 2018. Whilst I am not predicting that they have this latent Classic ability,...read more
Week 10: Autumn point-to-point season 10/12/2017 Borris (heavy) 4yo mares maiden: two divisions First run in 2015 this race produced the high-class Threeswallowsnick in 2016 who won two bumpers fir Gordon Elliott and although she received a very modest...read more
2/12/2017 Moira (heavy) 4yo maiden: This has been a decidedly average maiden over the years with the 2011 winner, Billy Twyford (Thomond O’Mara-129) and Baby Bach (132), from 2014, being the best of 12 previous winners for Nicky Henderson and Stephen...read more
Week 5: Autumn point-to-point season 05/11/2017 Tinahely (yielding) 4yo maiden: The other horse to catch the eye here – as mentioned above – was the Aidan Fitzgerald-trained Shetland Bus (by Sholokhov) who was the undoubted hard luck story of the race...read more
Week 1: Autumn point-to-point season 8/10/2017: Castletown-Geoghegan (yield-soft) 4yo maiden: This race provided some other horses of interest: Hitdroadjack (by Wareed) trained by Dan Lordan, who finished second to Napoleon Blue seemed to improve markedly...read more
26/11/2017 Knockinroe (heavy) This meet was held under the auspices of the Suir Vale Harriers and represented their first-ever autumn fixture which may have been occasioned by the loss of their solitary April date in both 2016 and 2015. Therefore, there is...read more