I will be posting my views and opinions on the current P2P season based on the winning maiden performances of four-year-old and five-year-old geldings, and the occasional six-year-old, that promise to deliver success on the racecourse. As those that live and breathe the game might say: predicting the performers “between the flags” that might prove their mettle “inside the rails” can be both an art and a science and my analysis is based on ten years of solid trends, observing previous patterns of success, enthusiasm and sheer, dogged hard work.
My analysis extends to the individual handler’s record over an extended period, the p2p rating awarded to the winner, how the horse fared at subsequent public auction, new trainer taking charge, subsequent level of success achieved and the Official Ratings awarded by the Irish and English handicappers. It can be illuminating to compare the success (or otherwise) of the maiden point winners of particular races or at certain highly-regarded venues over a period of years with the prices achieved when offered at public auction . My analysis will also generally cover four-year-old winning mares but this is a more nuanced field of research.
Week 7: Autumn point-to-point season 18/11/2017 Kirkistown (yield-soft) 4yo maiden: This has been a very decent maiden and throws up good track winners consistently. Ballynagour won for Stuart Crawford in 2010 (won a Byrne Plate at Cheltenham) and the 2012...read more
11/11/2017 Loughbrickland (heavy) 4yo maiden: Derby (Denis Murphy) by Policy Maker 3-3 (R93) "A serious horse with plenty of scope." Conditions were heavy and this paddock standout impressed most who saw him score convincingly. There were genuine excuses...read more
Week 5: Autumn point-to-point season 05/11/2017 Tinahely (yielding) 4yo maiden: Rocco (Colin Bowe) by Shantou F- (R92) £90,000 Cheltenham November 2017; 12th foal; half-brother to bumper/useful 2m-2m5f hurdle/chase winner Line Ball for Christy Roche,...read more
28/10/2017 Lisronagh (soft/heavy) 4yo mares maiden: Ratings of 81 and 82 has not been a particularly strong recommendation in the past for winning 4yo mares compared to the ratings for geldings which have inflated by between 5% and 10% over the past 10...read more
22/10/2017 Rathcannon (soft/heavy) 4yo maiden: It seems a long time ago and it is – 2007/08 in fact – since Eric McNamara trained 25 winners in a National Hunt season. Many lean years follow but last season (2016/17) showed an upswing in his fortunes when...read more
14/10/2015 Loughanmore (soft) 4yo maiden: “A hell of a horse” You can set your watch about Colin McKeever having an early one ready for a 4yo maiden and he duly obliged with his first runner at a northern meeting. Blue Flight (C McKeever) by Blue...read more
8/10/2017: Castletown-Geoghegan (yield-soft) 4yo maiden: The 2017/18 point-to-point season got off to a somewhat belated start this year and Wexford’s Colin Bowe, champion handler for the past three seasons, wasted no time in getting off the mark in the...read more